Royal Agricultural Consulting Co., Inc.
The 2012 crop is now behind us. We had great corn yields, super
peanut yields (Georgia may have set a new record for pounds per acre.),
and cotton yields turned out much better than we had first thought. The
August rains, which caused boll rot, were followed by a warm September
and October, so a good top crop was made in cotton. The majority of
producers averaged three bales or better.
As my farmers and I start preparing for the upcoming crop year, it is
hard to believe that I am beginning my 36th year as a crop consultant. In
looking to the 2013 season, following are some observations about how
farmers in this area may decide to allocate their crop mix.
Corn acres will definitely increase, but no more than we can adequately
irrigate. Our irrigation supply comes from wells, where possible, and
surface water (ponds, creeks and rivers), which is still very low. Peanut
acres are anybody’s guess. With such a big 2012 crop and reports that
shellers have a 17-month supply, my opinion is that acres could be down
by 50 percent. I believe shellers will have to offer a $500-525 per-ton contract
to get any peanuts planted, and, as of yet, that hasn’t happened.
Soybeans may take some of the peanut acres. Cotton acres could be
down, but with corn just being planted where adequate irrigation can be
applied, it appears that cotton acres may only be reduced slightly.
Irrigated And Dryland Acres
One reason that we were all worried about the post-555 era was that
our yields could decline since 555 wasn’t available. But with several of the
new varieties that have become available, yields have actually increased
since the 555 era. We will continue to evaluate new varieties in the field to
see which ones have the best fit for our irrigated and dryland acres.
When making variety decisions for our irrigated ground, we always
consider the yield potential, soil type and whether the variety is suited for
our area. The biggest factor for dryland would be the yield potential for a
dryland situation. We also look at which variety can take the most drought
stress, and, if it turns off dry early, will the variety have the ability to come
back and make a cotton crop?
Proactive Weed Control Strategy
There is still a fairly good profit in cotton with December 2013 cotton
staying between 79 and 80 cents, and producers averaging from 1,300 to
1,600 pounds per acre.
Probably our biggest expense in cotton, besides the tech fees, is our
increased herbicide cost to fight glyphosate-resistant Palmer amaranth.
Although my farmers never actually left the residuals, we are making a
few more herbicide applications to stay on the offense and not get behind.
These producers know what they have to do, and they want a clean crop,
so they are budgeting for this kind of herbicide regime.
Click here to ask Jack Royal a question or submit a comment about this month’s Cotton Consultant’s Corner.
• A.S. in Agricultural Science – Abraham Baldwin College, 1978
• Consults on cotton, corn, peanuts, grain sorghum and wheat
• Also conducts soil and nematode sampling and irrigation management and scheduling
• Member and past president of GAPAC
• Currently executive board member and membership chairman for GAPAC
• 2006 Cotton Consultant of the Year
• Member of NAICC
• Married to wife, Sheryl, for 34 years. Three children: Stacie
Dean, who is owner of Brookfield Academy in Valdosta, Ga.;
Jamie Royal, who is an attorney in Tallahassee, Fla.; and Dr.
Brad Royal, who is with Shands Hospital in Gainesville, Fla.
• Three grandchildren: Caroline, Allison and Natalie
• Enjoys hunting and fishing
Recap: Pre-Season Planning Pays Off
1. Since corn will be planted just where adequate irrigation can
be applied, cotton acres may only be reduced slightly.
2. New varieties will be evaluated in the field to see which ones
are best suited for our irrigated and dryland ground.
3. Producers in this area will continue to take the offensive against
glyphosate-resistant pigweed by making timely applications
of residual herbicides.
4. Factors to consider in choosing dryland varieties include yield
potential for dryland situations and determining which varieties
are able to take the most drought stress.
5. We will manage our inputs to increase yields and profits.